How Long Will London Renters Stay in One Home by 2026–2030?
One of the quietest but most important shifts in London’s rental market is not how much people pay — but
how long they stay. As the market moves beyond 2026, tenancy length is becoming a defining
feature of renting in London, influencing everything from rent increases to landlord strategy and renter
stability.
This forward-looking analysis explores how long London renters are likely to stay in one home between 2026
and 2030, how tenancy patterns differ by borough, and what this means for both renters and landlords navigating
an increasingly constrained market.
Why Tenancy Length Matters More Than Ever
Historically, renting in London was transient. Many renters expected to move every 12 months, often chasing
slightly lower rent or a better location. That expectation is changing.
Rising moving costs, limited supply, and lifestyle shifts mean renters are now prioritising stability over
short-term gains. At the same time, landlords are actively favouring longer tenancies to reduce risk and
administrative burden.
Average Tenancy Length in London: Past vs Future
Looking backward helps clarify where the market is heading.
- 2015–2019: 12–18 months was typical
- 2020–2023: increased volatility, shorter stays
- 2024–2025: stabilisation around 18–24 months
- 2026–2030 (projected): 24–36 months becoming the norm
The expectation of frequent moves is steadily being replaced by longer-term renting — particularly among
professionals and families.
Inner London: Shorter Stays, Higher Turnover
Inner London boroughs such as Camden, Westminster, Hackney, and Islington are likely to continue experiencing
higher tenant turnover.
Key reasons include:
- Higher rents prompting renters to “trade out” once incomes change
- Greater proportion of international and short-term renters
- Smaller property sizes less suited to long-term living
Even post-2026, average tenancy lengths in these boroughs are expected to remain around 18–24 months,
with many renters viewing inner London as a stepping stone rather than a permanent base.
Outer London: Where Long-Term Renting Is Becoming Normal
Outer boroughs are driving the shift toward longer tenancies. Areas such as Croydon, Bexley, Havering, Enfield,
Sutton, and Hillingdon increasingly support longer stays.
Factors contributing to this include:
- Larger homes and more liveable space
- Better value for money
- Improved transport connectivity reducing commute friction
- Higher proportion of family and professional renters
By 2026–2030, tenancies of 3 years or more will be increasingly common in these boroughs.
How Property Type Influences Length of Stay
Tenancy duration varies significantly depending on property type.
Rooms & HMOs
Shared housing typically sees the shortest stays, averaging 12–18 months. Changes in housemates, lifestyle
mismatch, or job moves often trigger relocations.
Studios & One-Bed Flats
These properties tend to attract longer stays, particularly among solo professionals. Average tenancies are
expected to increase to 24–30 months post-2026.
Family-Sized Homes
Two- and three-bedroom homes see the longest tenancies, often exceeding 36 months, especially in boroughs with
stable school catchments and community infrastructure.
The Role of Cost and Moving Fatigue
Moving in London has become significantly more expensive. Between deposits, referencing, removals, and time
off work, the financial and emotional cost of relocating is substantial.
As a result, renters are increasingly willing to tolerate modest rent increases or minor compromises rather
than restart the search process — reinforcing longer tenancies.
Landlord Behaviour Is Reinforcing Longer Stays
Landlords now actively prefer tenants who demonstrate long-term intent. This is particularly true after 2026,
as regulatory complexity and margin pressure make stability more attractive.
Longer tenancies offer landlords:
- Reduced void periods
- Lower re-letting costs
- More predictable cash flow
- Lower regulatory risk
Which Boroughs Will See the Longest Tenancies by 2030?
Based on current trends, the longest average tenancies are expected in:
- Bexley
- Havering
- Sutton
- Enfield
- Hillingdon
These boroughs combine affordability, space, and lifestyle stability — making them ideal for longer-term
renting.
What This Means for Renters Planning Ahead
Renters who plan for longer stays should prioritise:
- Properties that can accommodate lifestyle changes
- Boroughs with stable rent growth
- Good transport and amenities
- Landlords open to longer agreements
Choosing a home with long-term suitability can significantly reduce stress and costs over time.
Looking Ahead: The Normalisation of Long-Term Renting
By 2030, long-term renting will no longer be an exception in London — it will be the norm for many households.
Understanding how tenancy lengths differ by borough and property type gives renters a crucial strategic
advantage.
In a market defined by scarcity, stability will become one of the most valuable features a rental home can offer.
